Checking 538 is very satisfying. I like the NYT's even better because it lists a few sources. [link]
Yes, it's terribly simple. The good guys are always stalwart and true, the bad guys are easily distinguished by their pointy horns or black hats, and, uh, we always defeat them and save the day. No one ever dies, and everybody lives happily ever after.
Giles ,'Conversations with Dead People'
Natter 74: Ready or Not
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, butt kicking, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
Laura - Aug 02, 2016 10:56:52 am PDT #25508 of 30003
Our wings are not tired.
Connie Neil - Aug 02, 2016 10:57:28 am PDT #25509 of 30003
brillig
538 is on my favorites bar.
Steph L. - Aug 02, 2016 11:01:44 am PDT #25510 of 30003
That which does not kill you should RUN
There was one poll source that I think billytea said he liked and I can't remember it. Anyone?
Fivethirtyeght's nowcast is HILARIOUS at this moment. I feel like it should be accompanied by the sad trombone sound.
Tom Scola - Aug 02, 2016 11:03:58 am PDT #25511 of 30003
Where do you come from? Where do you go? What is your scene, baby? We just gotta know.
There was one poll source that I think billytea said he liked
Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium: [link]
Steph L. - Aug 02, 2016 11:04:25 am PDT #25512 of 30003
That which does not kill you should RUN
Aha! Thanks!
SuziQ - Aug 02, 2016 11:05:43 am PDT #25513 of 30003
Back tattoos of the mother is that you are absolutely right - Ame
I like the NYT's even better because it lists a few sources. [link]
That is pretty. And all their sources point to Colorado staying blue. Oh, that would be so nice. I've called Colorado purple since I moved here, but they have voted blue again and again.
Laura - Aug 02, 2016 11:08:18 am PDT #25514 of 30003
Our wings are not tired.
That have both Florida and North Carolina blue at the moment which is very pleasing to the eye.
Steph L. - Aug 02, 2016 11:09:20 am PDT #25515 of 30003
That which does not kill you should RUN
Ohio is blue (light blue, but still) on fivethirtyeight and Princeton, and yellow(?) on NYT (but still showing 59% Democratic).
It feels like there's too much time between now and the election.
lisah - Aug 02, 2016 11:19:12 am PDT #25516 of 30003
Punishingly Intricate
It feels like there's too much time between now and the election.
Ugh, seriously! I'm not sure I can take it and wish I had the self-control to stay offline for great chunks of the day but I don't.
Connie Neil - Aug 02, 2016 11:23:16 am PDT #25517 of 30003
brillig
I'm giving non-trivial odds that Trump will flame out somewhere in September or October, and the party will draft Cruz or Rubio or somebody, throwing everything out of kilter.